Tuesday May 21 @ 9:00am

US markets following global markets lower

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"Win as if you were used to it, lose as if you enjoyed it for a change."

~ Ralph Waldo Emerson

📈 The Markets Overnight

🌏 Asia: Down
🌍 Europe: Down
🌎 US Index Futures: Down a bit
🛢 Crude Oil: Down
🪙 Gold: Down a bit
🧐 Yields: Down slightly
💵 Dollar: Up slightly
🔮 Crypto: Mostly up

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💵 Economic Reports and Events Today

Consensus forecasts shown

  • 9:00am FOMC Member Waller Speaks about the economic outlook and monetary policy at an online event hosted by the Peterson Institute for International Economics. (link)

  • 9:00am FOMC Member Barkin deliver opening remarks at the Investing in Rural America Conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond. (link)

  • 9:05am FOMC Member Williams deliver opening remarks at the Governance and Culture Reform Conference, in New York. (link)

  • 9:10am FOMC Member Bostic delivers opening remarks at the Financial Markets Conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. (link)

  • 11:45am FOMC Member Barr Speaks about bank supervision and regulation at the Director & Executive Regional State Member Bank Virtual Conference. (link)

  • 7:00pm FOMC Member Mester participates in a panel discussion titled "Central Banking in the Post-Pandemic Financial System" at the Financial Markets Conference hosted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta. (link)

📰 Selected Earnings Releases

Consensus Estimates shown
After Hours Today:

  • TOL Toll Brothers EPS 4.14 Rev 2.53B (link)

  • URBN Urban Outfitters EPS 0.52 Rev 1.18B (link)

  • MOD Modine Manufacturing EPS 0.76 Rev 605.36M (link)

Pre-Market Tomorrow:

  • TGT Target EPS 2.02 Rev 24.51B (link)

  • PDD PDD Holdings EPS 1.43 Rev 10.61B (link)

  • TJX TJX Companies EPS 0.87 Rev 12.47B (link)

  • ADI Analog Devices EPS 1.26 Rev 2.10B (link)

  • WSM Williams-Sonoma EPS 2.68 Rev 1.65B (link)

  • WOOF Petco Health and Wellness EPS -0.06 Rev 1.51B (link)

🔮 Selected Analyst Ratings Changes

  • DIS Walt Disney Redburn Atlantic Upgrades to Neutral Targets $100.00

  • EAT Brinker International Argus Research Upgrades to Buy Targets $72.00

  • NOVA Sunnova Energy Intl Piper Sandler Downgrades to Neutral Lowers Target to $4.50

  • TOST Toast Baird Downgrades to Neutral Maintains $28.00

  • WIX Wix com Piper Sandler Downgrades to Neutral Raises Target to $184.00

📉 Stocks In Play

  • PANW: Palo Alto Networks: Down 6% after reporting guidance inline with expectations. (link)

  • MMAT: Meta Materials: Up 24% after the company announced that its lawyers say it has meritorious claims for market manipulation against several parties. (link)

  • PTON: Peloton: Down 5% but was down as much as 16% in after-hours trading after announcing it has refinanced its debt, gaining access to $1.4B. (link)

  • JD: JD.com: Down 4% on plans to issue $1.5B in convertible bonds. (link)

  • ETHUSD: Ethereum: Up 3% adding to yesterday's stunning 19% on signs the SEC will approve a spot Ether ETF. (link)

  • XPEV: XPeng: Up 7% on a smaller loss than expected with higher revenues and vehicle deliveries although forward guidance came in lighter than expected. (link)

  • Other Notable Earnings Movers: ZM -3$, LOW +3%, M +2%, ZIM -9%

💬 Commentary

Stocks were higher in very low-volume, choppy trading yesterday with SPY up 0.1%, IWM gaining 0.2%, and QQQ jumping 0.7% to a new all-time high. Technology strongly outperformed, rising 1.2%, while financials were very weak, down nearly 1.4% as yields rose for the third consecutive day.

US index futures are mirroring global markets moving lower this morning ahead of a day jam-packed with a ridiculous amount of Fed speak. As with yesterday, we should expect the market to react to their statements regarding rate cuts, likely on the theme of being in a position to wait but still expecting a cut or two this year. The end result will likely be another low-volume, choppy day while the market waits for tomorrow’s FOMC May meeting minutes and NVDA earnings.

- KevinD

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Disclaimer: Everything expressed in this newsletter is a personal opinion provided for educational value only. This is not financial advice. These are not instructions, suggestions, or directions as to how to handle your money. Please, always do your own due diligence.